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《考研英語閱讀理解100篇 高分版》 Unit 23 - TEXT THREE

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2019年02月24日

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The past few years have not been kind to Wall Street's equity analysts. Accused of helping to inflate the Internet bubble, new regulations were imposed upon them after it popped. Research budgets subsequently tumbled. Fund managers are increasingly bypassing the widely distributed wares of traditional research providers, turning to specialist firms instead. Less than six months ago, Merrill Lynch's head of research complained that Wall Street analysis was being “Napsterised”, or pirated. Some big financial firms, such as Prudential, have closed their research arms. Others are pondering their future in the business. To cap it all, a recent study suggested that it was all too easy for companies to buy the loyalty of those who cover their stock. The analyst's heyday would seem to be long gone.
But times are changing again. As markets sputter, analysts are regaining some clout. American shares plummeted on August 28th partly because Merrill Lynch's Guy Moszkowski cut his rating on several banks. Another Merrill analyst had earlier caused an even bigger quake by downgrading Countrywide, a big mortgage lender. And shares in Bear Stearns leapt when Dick Bove, an analyst with Punk Ziegel, merely pondered the possibility that the broker might receive a cash infusion from a foreign investor.
One explanation for this revival of influence is that, with markets so febrile, any shift in opinion is bound to have an exaggerated effect. But there may be more to it than that. As uncertainty grows, investors seem to be placing a higher value on research than they did only months ago. There is nothing new in this, reckons Mr. Bove, a 40-year veteran of the industry. He asserts that nobody cares what analysts think in the good times, when what matters is deploying your money as quickly as possible. But the tables quickly turn when markets fall, as investors seek to steady their portfolios. Mr. Bove argues that the golden age for equity analysts was the long bear market of the 1960s and 1970s, when advice on how to avoid losing money was highly treasured.
Another factor is the loss of faith in “quant” funds, which trade using complex computer models. Their recent problems have pushed investors back towards “more bottom-up, fundamental analysis”, says Lara Warner, head of American research at Credit Suisse. “People suddenly want to understand what they're holding.”
Recent structural changes also play a part. Since the “Global Settlement” of 2003, which severed the links between investment banks' dealmakers and their research departments, the banks have begun to tie analysts' pay more closely to performance. Bold calls earn bigger bonuses, if they prove correct. Ideas that stand out, and are thus valuable to hedge funds seeking “alpha” (above-market) returns, are also rewarded.
The audacity of some analysts stands in contrast to the spinelessness of Moody's and Standard&Poor's, which showered complex structured products with top-notch ratings and then twiddled their thumbs until they could no longer avoid downgrading them. By growing too cosy with their paymasters in structured products—the banks that package them—the rating agencies have ended up hopelessly in knots. A bit like equity analysts during the dotcom boom, in fact.
1. According to the first paragraph, which of the following statements is TRUE about the Wall Street's equity analysts?
[A] Their value were severely doubted and criticized by all.
[B] They were accused of exaggerating the values of the Internet stocks.
[C] They were facing the reverse trend of their business popularity.
[D] Big firms were beginning to abandon them.
2. The result of the study mentioned in the first paragraph implies that _____.
[A] the company need not Wall Street's equity analysis any more
[B] the stock holders are less dependent on the equity analysts
[C] suggestions by the Wall Street equity analysts are worthless
[D] shareholders are more sophisticated after the Internet bubble popped
3. The analysts are regaining their influence recently because of the following reasons except _____.
[A] the investors need more suggestions on their portfolios
[B] the market is now turning to be more tolerant of analysts' exaggeration
[C] the analysts are separated with the banks
[D] the quant funds have some problems in trading
4. Who are more likely getting high pays from the banks after the “Global Settlement”?
[A] Analysts who provide bold calls on the equity.
[B] Analysts who could bring good returns for the funds.
[C] Analysts who could provide correct evaluations.
[D] Analysts who could hedge funds.
5. The rating agencies are a bit like equity analysts during the dotcom boom in that _____.
[A] they tend to inflate the value of Internet stocks
[B] they have too close association with their clients
[C] they have not evaluated the structured products properly
[D] they were reluctant to downgrade their products

1. According to the first paragraph, which of the following statements is TRUE about the Wall Street's equity analysts?
[A] Their value were severely doubted and criticized by all.
[B] They were accused of exaggerating the values of the Internet stocks.
[C] They were facing the reverse trend of their business popularity.
[D] Big firms were beginning to abandon them.
1. 根據第一段,下列關于華爾街的股票分析家的陳述中哪一項是正確的?
[A] 人們嚴重懷疑和批評他們的價值。
[B] 人們指責他們夸大了網絡股票的價值。
[C] 他們面臨著事業(yè)下滑的趨勢。
[D] 大公司開始拋棄他們。
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆☆
分析:細節(jié)題。關鍵是要理解 helping to inflate the Internet bubble的意思,即“幫助吹大了網絡泡沫”,也就是將網絡股票的價值高估了,因此,答案為B。選項A和D的表述都過于絕對,不符合原文。選項C有一定的干擾性,但是要注意,文章第一段最后一句指出:The analyst's heyday would seem to be long gone. 從would seem to可以看出,這是一個虛擬語氣的句子,表示假設的狀況,因此該選項錯誤。
2. The result of the study mentioned in the first paragraph implies that _____.
[A] the company need not Wall Street's equity analysis any more
[B] the stock holders are less dependent on the equity analysts
[C] suggestions by the Wall Street equity analysts are worthless
[D] shareholders are more sophisticated after the Internet bubble popped
2. 第一段提到的研究結果暗示了 _____。
[A] 公司不再需要華爾街的股票分析了
[B] 股票持有人不再那么依靠股票分析了
[C] 華爾街股票分析家的建議是毫無價值的
[D] 股票持有人在互聯(lián)網泡沫破滅后更加成熟了
答案:D 難度系數(shù):☆
分析:推理題。第一段提到:To cap it all, a recent study suggested that it was all too easy for companies to buy the loyalty of those who cover their stock. 即研究表明,公司們以前想要買到股民們的忠誠真是太容易了,那么也就是說,現(xiàn)在股民們就不是這樣了。因此,選項D符合題意。
3. The analysts are regaining their influence recently because of the following reasons except _____.
[A] the investors need more suggestions on their portfolios
[B] the market is now turning to be more tolerant of analysts' exaggeration
[C] the analysts are separated with the banks
[D] the quant funds have some problems in trading
3. 近來分析師們的影響又恢復了,這是因為以下除了 _____ 外的原因。
[A] 投資者需要關于他們的投資組合更多的建議
[B] 市場現(xiàn)在能夠更加容忍這些分析師的夸張描述了
[C] 分析家和銀行分離了
[D] 理學基金在交易方面存在一些問題
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:細節(jié)題。選項A,文章第三段中提到了這點。選項D,第四段提到了這點。選項C,第五段提到了這點。而B對應于第三段的One explanation for this revival of influence is that, with markets so febrile, any shift in opinion is bound to have an exaggerated effect. 即“這種影響重新恢復的原因在于,市場處于高熱狀態(tài),任何觀點的變化都會產生夸大的效果”,這與選項B的表述相左。因此,答案為B。
4. Who are more likely getting high pays from the banks after the “Global Settlement”?
[A] Analysts who provide bold calls on the equity.
[B] Analysts who could bring good returns for the funds.
[C] Analysts who could provide correct evaluations.
[D] Analysts who could hedge funds.
4. “全球調整”后,誰有可能從銀行獲得高工資?
[A] 那些聲音很大的分析師。
[B] 可以為基金取得較好收益的分析師。
[C] 可以提供正確估值的分析師。
[D] 可以套期保值基金的分析師。
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:細節(jié)題。根據第五段,那些觀點正確且聲音很大的分析師收益高,而A只提到了一個方面。對套期保值基金有價值的分析師的意見也可以獲得高回報,因此,選項B是正確的。
5. The rating agencies are a bit like equity analysts during the dotcom boom in that _____.
[A] they tend to inflate the value of Internet stocks
[B] they have too close association with their clients
[C] they have not evaluated the structured products properly
[D] they were reluctant to downgrade their products
5. 評級機構和網絡繁榮時代的分析師的相同之處在于 _____。
[A] 他們傾向于夸大網絡股票的價值
[B] 他們和客戶有過于親密的關系
[C] 他們沒有正確地評估產品的價值
[D] 他們不愿意降低自己產品的級別
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:推理題。根據最后一段:By growing too cosy with their paymasters in structured products—the banks that package them—the rating agencies have ended up hopelessly in knots. A bit like equity analysts during the dotcom boom, in fact. 即評級機構和結構產品的發(fā)薪者過于勾結,最終不能給予產品正確的評級,這就和網絡時代的分析師過高地評估股票一樣,因此,答案為C。

過去的幾年對于華爾街的股票分析師們來說可不好過。他們被人指責為加劇網絡泡沫推波助瀾,因此在泡沫破滅后,就出臺了限制他們的法規(guī)。研究預算減少了,基金經理不再關心傳統(tǒng)研究提供者的那種到處都有的服務了,而是轉向了專業(yè)公司。不到六個月前,美林公司研發(fā)主任抱怨說,華爾街的分析是“孤注一擲的”,或者說是剽竊來的。一些大的金融公司(如Prudential)已經關閉了其研究部門,其他的也正在考慮該行業(yè)未來的發(fā)展。近期的一項研究表明,公司們想要買到股民們的忠誠真是太簡單了。分析師的全盛時期已經不復存在了。
但時代又在發(fā)生變化。當市場復蘇時,分析師們又重新獲得了一些影響力。美國的股市于8月28日暴跌,這部分是因為美林公司的Guy Moszkowski調低了對幾家銀行的評級。另外一位美林公司的分析師因為早先降低了大型抵押貸款公司Countrywide的評級,引發(fā)了更大的震動。而Punk Ziegel的分析師Dick Bove僅僅考慮了股票經紀人有可能會接受外國投資者的融資,就使得Bear Stearn的股票出現(xiàn)了震蕩。
分析師影響的重新恢復,原因之一就在于市場處于高熱狀態(tài),任何觀點的變化都會產生夸大的效果。但是可能還有別的原因。隨著不確定性的增加,投資者現(xiàn)在似乎比僅僅幾個月以前更加看重研究。該行業(yè)有著40年經驗的Bove先生認為,這不是什么新現(xiàn)象。他認為,在經濟好的時候沒有人關心分析師們想什么,那時候的關鍵就是如何盡可能快地分配資金。但是一旦市場砸盤,一切就都變了,因為投資者們開始尋求如何將自己的資金組合穩(wěn)定住。Bove先生認為,股票分析師的黃金時期是上世紀60年代到70年代的長期熊市,當時那些有關如何避免資金損失的建議得到了高度重視。
另外一個因素就是人們喪失了對“理學”基金的信心,這些基金利用復雜的計算模式來進行投資。基金最近出現(xiàn)的問題將投資者推回到“更加自下而上的基礎分析”,瑞士信貸的美國研究主任Lara Warner說。“人們忽然想要知道他們手里拿的是什么了。”
最近的結構變化也起到了一定的作用。2003年的“全球調整”切斷了投資銀行的政策制定者和研究部門之間的聯(lián)系,自此以后,銀行開始將分析師的工資與其業(yè)績更加緊密地聯(lián)系在一起。如果觀點正確的話,聲音越大賺得的紅包就越多。而對尋求差額收益(高于市場)的基金有價值的那些突出的想法也受到獎勵。
一些分析師的大膽與穆迪以及標準普爾指數(shù)的分析師的膽小形成了對比,后者擺出最高等級的結構復雜的產品,然后就無所事事,直到不得不降級。因為在結構產品中與發(fā)薪者(打包結構產品的銀行)過于勾結,評級機構最終得到的都是失望。這有點像網絡繁榮時代的股票分析師一樣。
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