俄烏戰(zhàn)事恐使今年全球貿(mào)易增長幾近減半

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has dealt a severe blow to the global economy, reducing forecast global trade growth for 2022 from the 4.7 percent predicted last October to between 2.4 percent and 3 percent. The projection, based on a global economic simulation model, was made by the World Trade Organization (WTO) Secretariat in a note issued on Monday.

當(dāng)?shù)貢r間4月11日，世貿(mào)組織秘書處在一份報告中表示，通過一個全球經(jīng)濟(jì)模擬模型預(yù)測，俄烏沖突對全球經(jīng)濟(jì)造成嚴(yán)重負(fù)面影響，可能導(dǎo)致今年全球貿(mào)易增速降至2.4%到3%之間，而去年10月該組織預(yù)測今年全球貿(mào)易增速可達(dá)4.7%。

According to the same model, the crisis could lower global GDP growth by 0.7-1.3 percentage points, bringing it to somewhere between 3.1 percent and 3.7 percent for 2022.
報告還預(yù)測，根據(jù)同一模型，俄烏沖突將使今年全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增速下降0.7到1.3個百分點，降至3.1%到3.7%之間。

The conflict has pushed up food and energy prices, and reduced the availability of goods exported by Russia and Ukraine, said the Secretariat note.
報告認(rèn)為，俄烏沖突推高全球范圍內(nèi)食品和能源價格，并阻礙俄羅斯和烏克蘭產(chǎn)品出口。