Facebook is one of the most widely observed and discussed stocks in the world, even though it just went public in May. Since falling by more than 40 percent from its IPO price of $38, Facebook today closed at $22.36, up $2.50, or just more than 12 percent, on the day.
Why does this one day of trading matter for the long-term success of the company—and, perhaps more importantly, the market's perception of its future profitability? That's because today, some 804 million shares held by early investors were freed up for sale.
These limits on when initial shareholders and employees are allowed to sell are designed to reassure later investors that there won't be a stampede of early sellers that will drive down the stock price. Even if these initial investors and employees are not particularly pessimistic about the company's future prospects, they may just want the money immediately and bring down the price too low. One major Facebook shareholder who is not affected by any lockup expirations is CEO and founder Mark Zuckerberg, who promised in September not to sell any of his Facebook stock for at least a year.
Past lockup expirations, even though they were considerably smaller than today's release of more than 800 million shares, resulted in sizable declines in Facebook's stock price. Just this Monday, Facebook stock declined to $18.87 in intraday trading on concerns about the lockup expiring. But today, instead of seeing the 5 or 6 percent drop one might expect from previous expirations, investors held steady. And even though the volume of trading this morning was very high, the stock still gained value, outperforming the Dow, the NASDAQ, and an index of technology stocks.
Some market analysts attributed the buying to pent-up demand for Facebook, which some traders think has reached a bottom in terms of its stock price. If that were the case, more stock available at the current price would lead to more buying. When the market (and early investors) were more pessimistic about Facebook's stock price, more stock just meant more opportunities to sell, which led to those large one-day dips.
The reason why this lockup expiration didn't result in a sell-off could be genuine optimism about Facebook's profitability. Its third-quarter earnings, released late last month, beat expectations and showed steady revenue growth and a user base quickly shifting to mobile phones. If stock markets really were efficient, the effects of these lockup expirations could be “priced in.” And as a result, there wouldn't be so much volatility on the actual days the shares became available. If investors really think Facebook's future earnings will be higher, they should have bought accordingly, regardless of the lockup. Same with those Facebook bears who sold on the first two expirations.
But here's an alternate explanation. Maybe the stock went up because Facebook's prospects look pretty good. If there's one company whose very real success (being by far the largest social network in the world) is constantly overlooked in favor of an obsession over the day-to-day moves of its stock, it's Facebook. Now if only Facebook could figure out a way to get people to pay attention to mobile ads. That would be a real story.
1. This one day of trading is important for the company's long-term success mainly because _____.
[A] the trade volume will account for the biggest share of the total stock returns of the year
[B] some 804 million shares held by early investors were freed up for sale
[C] Facebook is one of the world's most observed companies
[D] this day of trading will damage the initial shareholders' and employees' interests
2. Which of the following is NOT the reason for the large one-day dips?
[A] More stocks at low prices led to more buying, which turned to be selling when market was not good.
[B] When the market was more pessimistic about Facebook's stock price, more stocks just meant more opportunities to sell.
[C] Lockup expirations stocks led to the one-day dips.
[D] Lack of new investors.
3. The word “pent-up” (Line 1, Paragraph 5) most probably means _____.
[A] depressed
[B] repressed
[C] imperative
[D] pressing
4. The fact that the lockup expiration didn't result in a sell-off implies that _____.
[A] there would be much volatility on the actual days the shares became available
[B] previous investors have an obscure attitude toward Facebook's profitability
[C] Facebook has a pretty good future
[D] investors don't care about the lockup expiration
5. About “That would be a real story”, which one of the following is NOT true?
[A] Facebook will have a high stock price.
[B] Facebook will attract more and more people to buy its stock.
[C] People will be familiar with Facebook.
[D] Facebook will be very successful.
1. This one day of trading is important for the company's long-term success mainly because _____.
[A] the trade volume will account for the biggest share of the total stock returns of the year
[B] some 804 million shares held by early investors were freed up for sale
[C] Facebook is one of the world's most observed companies
[D] this day of trading will damage the initial shareholders' and employees' interests
1. 這種日交易對公司長遠的成功很重要,主要是因為 _____。
[A] 交易額將占據(jù)今年股票總收益的最大份額
[B] 早期投資者持有的大約8.04億股份可以自由出售了
[C] 臉譜網(wǎng)是世界上最受關(guān)注的公司之一
[D] 這種日交易會損害早期股東和雇員的利益
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆
分析:細節(jié)題。文章第二段首先設(shè)問:這種日交易為何對該公司的長遠的成功很重要?緊接著第二句給出了回答:那是因為今天早期投資者所持有的大約8.04億股份可以自由出售了。本題題干正是對原文的轉(zhuǎn)述,而正確選項 B 是原文的再現(xiàn)。
2. Which of the following is NOT the reason for the large one- day dips?
[A] More stocks at low prices led to more buying, which turned to be selling when market was not good.
[B] When the market was more pessimistic about Facebook's stock price, more stocks just meant more opportunities to sell.
[C] Lockup expirations stocks led to the one-day dips.
[D] Lack of new investors.
2. 以下選項中哪一項不是日交易價格一落千丈的原因?
[A] 股票價格越低,導(dǎo)致的買進越多。但在市場不景氣時,這些股票會被賣出。
[B] 當(dāng)市場對臉譜網(wǎng)的股票價格更加悲觀時,持有的股票越多,正意味著賣出的機會更多。
[C] 禁售期到期的股票導(dǎo)致了日交易價格的一落千丈。
[D] 缺乏新投資者。
答案:D 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆☆
分析:細節(jié)題。文章第四段提到雖然以前禁售期到期的股票比今天發(fā)行的8億多股份少多了,但是也導(dǎo)致了臉譜網(wǎng)股價大幅下降。由此可知,禁售期期滿的股票對于市場價格有很大的影響,因此選項C是日交易價格一落千丈的原因。選項A和B所表達的意思相同,文中第五段提到,市場價格越低,買入的股票就越多;而持有的股票越多,在市場不好時,可以賣出的股票就越多,那就會導(dǎo)致市場股票價格的大幅下降。選項D在文中沒有依據(jù),故為正確答案。
3. The word “pent-up” (Line 1, Paragraph 5) most probably means _____.
[A] depressed
[B] repressed
[C] imperative
[D] pressing
3. “pent-up”這個詞(第五段第一行)最有可能的意思是 _____。
[A] 沮喪的
[B] 壓制的
[C] 必要的
[D] 迫切的
答案:B 難度系數(shù):☆☆
分析:猜詞題。pent-up的意思是“壓抑的;積壓的;壓制的”。分析幾個選項,只有B選項的意思符合文意。其他選項和pent-up的意思相差甚遠。故答案為B。
4. The fact that the lockup expiration didn't result in a sell-off implies that _____.
[A] there would be much volatility on the actual days the shares became available
[B] previous investors have an obscure attitude toward Facebook's profitability
[C] Facebook has a pretty good future
[D] investors don't care about the lockup expiration
4. 股票禁售期到期并沒有導(dǎo)致拋售的事實暗示_____。
[A] 在股票能夠購買的實際天數(shù)里,會有太多的變數(shù)
[B] 先前的投資者對臉譜網(wǎng)收益率持不明確的態(tài)度
[C] 臉譜網(wǎng)有很好的前景
[D] 投資者不關(guān)心禁售期到期
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆☆
分析:推理題。第六段提到了禁售期到期沒有導(dǎo)致拋售可能是因為股民對臉譜網(wǎng)收益率真正樂觀的態(tài)度,這一態(tài)度更進一步預(yù)示了臉譜網(wǎng)的前景,故排除B選項。第六段提到:如果投資者真的認為臉譜網(wǎng)的未來收益會更高的話,他們就會根據(jù)情況買進了,而不會管禁售??梢?,投資者是否拋售股票與股票是否有變數(shù)并無太大關(guān)系。因此,選項A不符合題意。而投資者只有在認為未來收益高的情況下才不會管禁售,才會買進而不拋售,因此仍舊可知臉譜網(wǎng)是有前景的,故答案為C。
5. About “That would be a real story”, which one of the following is NOT true?
[A] Facebook will have a high stock price.
[B] Facebook will attract more and more people to buy its stock.
[C] People will be familiar with Facebook.
[D] Facebook will be very successful.
5. 對于“那就離成功不遠了”,以下選項中哪個選項的說法是不正確的?
[A] 臉譜網(wǎng)的股票價格會很高。
[B] 臉譜網(wǎng)會吸引越來越多的人購買它的股票。
[C] 人們會對臉譜網(wǎng)很熟悉。
[D] 臉譜網(wǎng)將會非常成功。
答案:C 難度系數(shù):☆☆
分析:細節(jié)題。最后一段提到Facebook對它的股票特別關(guān)心,當(dāng)然會希望更多的人來關(guān)注并購買它的股票。縱觀全篇講述的都是Facebook的股票問題,后面提到,只要它讓更多的人關(guān)注到它的移動廣告,就會離成功不遠了,所以A、B和D的說法在文中都能得到體現(xiàn),而C項的說法則沒有說服力,因為臉譜網(wǎng)早已為人們所熟知,“人們會對臉譜網(wǎng)很熟悉”這一說法牽強,故選C。
臉譜網(wǎng)的股票是世界上最廣受關(guān)注和議論的股票之一,盡管臉譜網(wǎng)五月份才上市。從以發(fā)行價38美元下跌超過40%以來,今天臉譜網(wǎng)以22.36美元報收,上漲了2.50美元,或者說僅一天內(nèi)就上漲了12%以上。
為什么這種日交易對公司長遠的成功很重要?而且,或許更為重要的是,關(guān)系到市場對其未來收益率的看法呢?那是因為今日早期投資者所持有的大約8.04億股份可以自由出售了。
對早期股東和雇員何時可以出售股票加以限制是為了使后期的投資者安心:早期股票購買人爭相拋售股票,從而使股票價格下跌的狀況不會出現(xiàn)。即使這些早期的投資者和雇員對公司的前景不是特別悲觀,他們也可能會只是想即刻收回自己的資金,從而把股票價格拉得很低。臉譜網(wǎng)的一位主要股東——臉譜網(wǎng)的創(chuàng)始人及總裁馬克·扎克博格沒有受禁售期到期的任何影響,他在九月份承諾,至少一年以內(nèi)他不會出售他所持有的臉譜網(wǎng)的任何股票。
雖然以前禁售期到期的股票比今天發(fā)行的8億多股份少多了,但是也導(dǎo)致了臉譜網(wǎng)股價大幅下降。就在本周一,臉譜網(wǎng)當(dāng)天的股價就因為對禁售期到期的擔(dān)憂而跌至18.87美元。但是今天,由之前的禁售期到期所預(yù)期的5%—6%的下跌并未出現(xiàn),投資者持股穩(wěn)定。雖然今天早上交易總額很高,股票依舊有收益,并且超過了道瓊斯指數(shù)、納斯達克指數(shù)和科技股票指數(shù)。
一些市場分析家把股民買進臉譜網(wǎng)的股票歸因于人們被壓抑的對臉譜網(wǎng)的股票的需求,一些交易人士認為就臉譜網(wǎng)的股票價格而言,這種需求已經(jīng)觸底。如果上述觀點屬實的話,目前價格下可以買到的股票越多,就會導(dǎo)致越多的買進。當(dāng)市場(和早期投資者)對臉譜網(wǎng)的股價更為悲觀的時候,持有的股票越多就意味著賣出的機會越多,這也導(dǎo)致了那些日交易的價格一落千丈。
禁售期到期沒有導(dǎo)致拋售可能是因為股民對臉譜網(wǎng)收益率真正樂觀的態(tài)度。上個月晚些時候公布的其第三季度的收入優(yōu)于預(yù)期,顯示出了穩(wěn)定的收益增長,而且用戶群主體快速轉(zhuǎn)為了手機用戶。如果股票市場確實有效的話,這些禁售期到期的股票的影響會被價格反映出來。而作為結(jié)果,股票實際可售的日子里價格將不會有太多變數(shù)。如果投資者真的認為臉譜網(wǎng)的未來收益會更高的話,他們就會根據(jù)情況買進了,而不會管禁售。同樣,那些在最開始的兩次期滿時臉譜網(wǎng)股票的賣空者也有這樣的想法。
但是也有另一種解釋,也許股票價格上漲是因為臉譜網(wǎng)的前景看起來非常好。假如有一個公司,它真正的成功(到目前為止是世界上最大的社交網(wǎng)絡(luò))總是被忽視,取而代之的是對公司股票日常走勢的癡迷,那這個公司就是臉譜網(wǎng)。現(xiàn)在要是臉譜網(wǎng)可以找到一個引起人們對移動廣告關(guān)注的方法就好了,那就離成功不遠了。